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Warnings of the scenario of partition on the basis of sectarianism in Chad

Despite the formation of a new government with the participation of some opposition parties, some of them oppose the French role there in support of the transitional council.

Many opposition parties see that the French role seeks to keep the current council as an extension of its ally who was killed days ago, while the council affirms commitment to all previous agreements and pledges with other countries, which some see in return for French support.

According to experts, France fears that some countries will enter into competition with it through strong relations with some parties in Chad, or even with the current government, and that it is making all efforts to prevent such developments.

In previous official statements, France stressed the importance of the “peaceful transfer” of power in Chad after the death of President Idriss Deby Itno, and the Elysee declared that Paris “expresses its firm commitment to Chad’s stability and territorial integrity.”
In the same context, experts warned of suspicious moves to divide Chad on a sectarian basis, and some sources confirmed that these moves are supported by competing countries that may exploit the current political dispute as a cover for the implementation of the partition scenario.

According to the sources, some of these countries are present in more than one of the countries of conflict, and that they support Muslims in Chad in coming out against the French position and those who support it.

For his part, the Chadian political analyst said: “France stands, heart and soul, with the military council. Indeed, it had the upper hand in imposing it as a fait accompli after the sudden departure of its first ally in the Sahel region.”

With regard to the constitutional period set to 45 days after the vacancy of the president’s office, which is supposed to be called during new elections, the analyst adds that the consensus among all political actors goes towards the impossibility of organizing elections due to the political environment, which is not prepared to organize fair and transparent elections that guarantee the participation of everyone, including Armed opposition.

With regard to the current French role, the analyst goes that “France seeks to keep the council, despite its speeches in its speeches saying the opposite.”

He pointed out that “the movements on the ground do not seem to carry the same official French statements, and that France has exercised some pressure through its embassy in N’Djamena to accept the council and participate in the government, to give it political legitimacy despite the constitutional dispute.

With regard to future bets, the situation is heading towards more calm, especially in light of the French presence in the scene, but this calm is linked to the position of the opposition political parties that may escalate during the coming period, according to the expert.

With regard to the relationship between the new government and France, the political analyst points out that “Paris supports the government emanating from the Military Council, which affirmed the preservation of its alliances and pledges in the region, especially France in its war on terror.”

Al-Abed Mustafa Al-Bashir, Commissioner of the National Rights Committee, stands with the Transitional Council as it is the political extension of the late President and an ally of France.
In his speech to “Sputnik”, he added, “The council is the only party capable of the French role, in light of the interference of other parties on the line, including the United States of America, which openly supports the” Sexi Masera “party.

In the government that was formed days ago, some opposition parties joined it, and other parties agreed to it, which Al-Bashir sees as a result of French pressure to split the opposition.

And he believes that “France is not pushing towards a civilian government, but rather is working to keep the council and that it is unlikely that the country will transfer to a civilian authority, if the situation becomes according to what was planned.”

According to Al-Bashir, “France is betting on military strength, and for the council president to follow in the footsteps of his predecessor in exchange for its support.”

He stressed that “France lost a lot with the death of its first ally, Deby, who supported France in overthrowing Gaddafi, in addition to managing the file of terrorist groups in the Sahel (G5), as well as managing the Central African file.”

Western countries, especially France, the former colonial power, consider Déby’s regime a major partner in the fight against extremist Islamist movements in the Sahel.

On the other hand, the political advisor to the head of the National Resistance of the Front for National Accord for Change in Chad, Moussa Muli, stressed that the killing of Chadian President Idriss Deby is not the main goal of the front, but rather their goal is to completely change the system in the country, stressing that the movement intends to advance to the capital, N’Djamena, at the appropriate time.

Last month, the Chadian Armed Forces announced the death of President Idriss Deby as a result of wounds he sustained on the front during confrontations between the army and militants in the north of the country, hours after announcing his victory for a sixth term, according to preliminary results.

According to an army statement, a transitional military council was formed headed by Muhammad Idris Deby, son of the late president, provided that there will be a transfer of power within 18 months.

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