Oil prices rise on cooling US inflation but heading for weekly dip

Oil prices inched up on Friday amid signs of easing inflationary pressures in the world’s biggest oil consumer, the US, though the contracts were headed for a weekly decline, according to Reuters.

Brent crude futures rose 33 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $85.73 a barrel by 6:00 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 46 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $83.08 a barrel.

Both contracts gained in the prior two sessions but were still poised for weekly declines.

Brent futures were set to fall about 1 percent week-on-week following four weeks of gains. WTI futures were broadly stable on a weekly basis, set for a 0.1 percent dip.

Investor confidence was bolstered after data on Thursday showed US consumer prices fell in June, stoking hopes that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates soon. Lower rates are expected to boost economic growth which would help raise fuel consumption.

However, the market is still awaiting clearer signs of action. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged the recent improving trend in price pressures, he told lawmakers that more data was needed to strengthen the case for rate cuts.

“Cooling US inflation numbers may support the case for the Fed to kickstart its policy easing process earlier rather than later, but it also adds to the series of downside surprises in US economic data, which points to a clear weakening of the US economy,” said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.

Indications of strong summer fuel demand in the US also kept prices buoyed.

US gasoline demand was at 9.4 million barrels per day in the week ended July 5, the highest for the week that includes the Independence Day holiday since 2019, government data showed on Wednesday. Jet fuel demand on a four-week average basis was at its strongest since January 2020.

“The market will remain rangebound, paralyzed by opposing forces of expected demand recovery fueled by an anticipation of a strong summer for fuels consumption… but sentiment remains pegged by ongoing economic weakness and uncertain demand recovery,” said Emril Jamil, senior oil analyst at LSEG.

The strong fuel demand encouraged US refiners to ramp up activity and draw from crude oil stockpiles. US Gulf Coast refiners’ net input of crude rose last week to more than 9.4 million bpd for the first time since January 2019, government data showed.